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Russia said that it had established direct contact with the political committee of the Syrian "Sharm el-Liberation Organization". On the 12th local time, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Bogdahn Novo said that Russia had established direct contact with the political committee of the Syrian armed group "Liberation Syria".Fitch: The possible trade policy changes after the results of the 2024 election in the United States will bring risks in 2025 and may reduce the demand for shipping companies.On December 12th, local time, the reporter learned that the court documents submitted that day showed that Alexander smirnoff, an FBI informant who had been accused of fabricating US President Barack joseph robinette and his son hunter biden to accept millions of dollars in bribes, had agreed to plead guilty. It is understood that smirnoff reached a plea agreement with David Weiss, special adviser of the Ministry of Justice. According to the agreement, the two sides will recommend a prison term of at least 48 months and no more than 72 months.

CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report believes that the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing. On the whole, the policy level is fully aware of the grim situation that external pressure may increase significantly within next year, and has put forward a series of requirements such as stable growth, stable prices, stable employment and stable people's livelihood. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the amount of financial instruments supporting the real economy will be comprehensively increased, the government's disposable financial resources will be significantly improved, and the fiscal expenditure structure will be tilted to the marginal consumption of people's livelihood. From the perspective of monetary policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. We expect the reverse repo rate to drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more.Expert: The Central Economic Work Conference has determined that the tone of monetary policy in 2025 is "moderately loose". Dong Ximiao, the chief researcher of Zhaolian and a part-time researcher at the Institute of Finance of Fudan University, believes that the Central Economic Work Conference has determined that the tone of monetary policy in 2025 is "moderately loose" not only because of the analysis of the current economic situation, but also because of the full consideration of external uncertainties and the planning of economic work next year. Looking forward to the follow-up, in 2025, moderately loose monetary policy can continue to exert its strength in three aspects, which is more forward-looking, effective and targeted. First, it is necessary to intensify counter-cyclical and cross-cyclical adjustment, make pre-adjustment in an unconventional way, let policy adjustment go ahead of the market curve, help the macro economy smooth out cyclical fluctuations and external shocks, and show forward-looking; Second, continue to reduce the RRR and interest rates. In 2025, the RRR can be lowered by 0.5 percentage points, the policy interest rate will be lowered by 50 basis points, and the LPR will be reduced by 25 basis points, thus ensuring more abundant liquidity in the total amount, moderately reducing costs and enhancing effectiveness; Third, make good use of the existing structural monetary policy tools, create new tools when necessary, enrich the "eighteen martial arts" in the toolbox, guide and support financial institutions to do the "five major articles", especially increase support for scientific and technological innovation, green development, consumer finance, etc., and reflect pertinence. (Xinhua Finance)Fitch Global Shipping predicts that the performance of each sub-industry will grow steadily, but it will be partially offset by the downward trajectory of container shipping in 2025.

Market News: The Canadian government sells its shares in Air Canada.Market News: The Canadian government sells its shares in Air Canada.US lawmakers from Texas proposed to establish a strategic bitcoin reserve. It is reported that Giovanni Capriglione, a Republican state legislator from Texas, proposed legislation on Thursday to establish a strategic bitcoin reserve. The bill will allow the state to collect taxes, fees and donations in the form of bitcoins and hold these bitcoins for at least five years. Giovanni described it as a hedge against inflation. This proposal does not elaborate on the plan to buy Bitcoin directly. Texas is the region with the largest concentration of bitcoin miners in the United States. The legislation aims to encourage miners to use digital assets to pay taxes.